Tuesday, April 08, 2014

March Madness Fantasy 2014 - Final Results

Welp, Gav won, and it wasn’t very close.


Gav 709


Dan 654.5

Joe 569.5

Brian 539

Bob 534

Ben 501

Chuck 460
Chris 423.5

Shawn 360
 

Stu 234



Dan’s Michael Frazier II/Frank Kaminsky combo totalled only 19 points in their Final Four losses, while Gav’s Traevon Jackson scored 18 himself in that Wisconsin loss. That kid totaled 102 points for Gav, his second-highest scorer. What a load of bullshit. This undersized PG with an awful-looking shot (how do you shoot with that motion when your dad played for the NBA? Did his nanny teach him to shoot?) repeatedly failed Wisconsin. Against Arizona, he took a final shot twice and missed both times, and he missed the bank shot winner against Kentucky. Frankly, he should be penalized for those misses, like, 25 points each. And why is Bo Ryan so determined to have the starter with the lowest FG% take those final shots? Yeesh.
Julius Randle had his two worst games of the tourney to finish out, and still amassed 32 and 29.5 points, more than enough to push Gav over the 700-point barrier and into an epic victory. Randle was the highest-scoring player of the entire tourney, thanks to his 1.5x bonus multiplier, and his 239.5 points was just over one-third of Gav’s team’s total. It’s the most points a player has ever had using our scoring system. The previous bonus point bests were Cleanthony Early ( Wichita State 2013, 190) and Omar Samhan (St Mary’s 2010, 161).


Jarnell Stokes of Tennessee also beat these historical records with his 193.5 points.


Shabazz was the highest-scoring player who didn’t earn the 1.5x bonus, with 181. That’s just shy of the record 196 that Kemba Walker put up in his 2011 championship run and the 194 that Anthony Davis put up in his 2012 championship run.

Only two of the top thirty scorers were first-round picks: Gordon and Johnson of Arizona.





Gav’s 709 total points is second all-time to Bob’s magical 2010 tourney, when he had 717.5 points by owning Final Four players Devin Ebanks, Gordon Hayward, and Nolan Smith.


Stu’s 234 points was the second-lowest team total of all time, since Zach was allowed to play. In 2010 he had 229 points, with zero players who reached the Sweet Sixteen.

The average score compiled for all players on the spreadsheet was 45, and the median was 36. For bonus players most likely to be drafted - those playing for teams seeded between 8 and 12, the average was 56, and the median was 43. For those playing for teams seeded between 1 and 4, the average was 52, and the median was 49.


Just so I can more easily find the historical data next year, I'm pasting it below.

2012-13
1st Bob 653
2nd Brian G 650
last Shawn 389.5

Top Scorers
Obs OWNER ROUND SELECTION PLAYER SCHOOL SEED TOTAL_SCORE
1 . . Cleanthony Early Wichita State 9 190.0
2 . . Malcolm Armstead Wichita State 9 168.0
3 . . Mitch McGary Michigan 4 167.0
4 . . Ramon Galloway La Salle 13 160.5
5 Peter 1 1 Russ Smith Louisville 1 155.0
6 Bobby 2 11 Trey Burke Michigan 4 146.0
7 Gavin 6 54 Carl Hall Wichita State 9 140.5
8 . . Tyrone Garland La Salle 13 126.0
9 . . Sherwood Brown Florida Gulf Coast 15 123.5
10 BrianG 4 36 Tim Hardaway Jr. Michigan 4 122.0


2011-12
1st Chris 646
2nd Charlie 607
last Peter 392.5
Top Scorers
Obs OWNER ROUND SELECTION PLAYER SCHOOL SEED TOTAL_SCORE
1 Charlie 1 2 Anthony Davis Kentucky 1 194.0
2 Shawn 1 1 Thomas Robinson KU 2 172.0
3 Shawn 2 16 Jared Sullinger Ohio St 2 139.0
4 Charlie 4 31 Deshaun Thomas Ohio St 2 137.0
5 Peter 1 8 Terrence Jones Kentucky 1 132.0
6 Chris 5 37 Tu Holloway Xavier 10 117.0
7 . . Lorenzo Brown NC St 11 115.0
8 Dan 1 4 Tyler Zeller UNC 1 114.0
9 . . Walter Offutt Ohio 13 113.0
10 Chris 4 28 Jeff Withey KU 2 111.0


2010-11
1st James 573
2nd BrianG 539
last Peter 388

Top Scorers
Obs Owner Round Selection Player School Seed TOTAL_SCORE
. . Bradford Burgess VCU 11 197.0
2 James 1 6 Kemba Walker Connecticut 3 196.0
3 . . Jamie Skeen VCU 11 185.0
4 . . Shelvin Mack Butler 8 149.0
5 Charlie 3 20 Tyler Zeller North Carolina 2 146.0
6 . . Joey Rodriguez VCU 11 137.5
7 . . Jeremy Lamb Connecticut 3 134.0
8 . . Matt Howard Butler 8 132.0
9 . . Brandon Rozzell VCU 11 128.0
10 Brian 3 21 Derrick Williams Arizona 5 122.0


2009-10

1st Bob 717.5
2nd Shawn 630
last Zach 229

Top Scorers
Obs OWNER ROUND SELECTION PLAYER SCHOOL SEED TOTAL_SCORE
1 Gavin 3 20 Omar Samhan C STMRY 10 161.0
2 Shawn 1 8 Kyle Singler F DUKE 1 157.0
3 Charlie 1 7 Jon Scheyer G DUKE 1 136.0
4 Bobby 7 51 Gordon Hayward G-F BUT 5 134.0
5 Bobby 3 19 Nolan Smith G DUKE 1 134.0
6 . . Shelvin Mack G BUT 5 127.0
7 . . Louis Dale G CORN 12 118.0
8 . . Durrell Summers G MSU 5 117.0
9 Charlie 2 10 Da'Sean Butler F WVU 2 111.0
10 Gavin 2 13 Jacob Pullen G KSU 2 110.0

2008-09
Not too sure but I think I took first because I grabbed Blake Griffin with the #1 overall pick?








Monday, March 31, 2014

March Madness Fantasy 2014 - Elite 8 Results


First, let’s talk about the Sweet Sixteen round. 



Ben had two top performers, both in losing efforts. As predicted, Hogue did benefit from Niang’s absence, and scored a lot of points in a loss for Joe, who also got a big Branden Dawson performance. Stu owned two of the worst players, with Brady Heslip and Keith Appling combining for 10 points. Appling may be the turd of the tourney. Nine drafted players scored fewer points than him, but almost all of them only lasted one game. Drafted #21 overall, he scored 21 points over 4 games, including zero points in the Elite 8 game (due to subtraction for turnovers); that’s the same point total Shane Southwell earned in this tourney. That stinks, and that’s why he’s the Turd of the Tourney ©.


Gav had two of the seven top studs in the Elite Eight.


Overall, 6 of the top 10 scorers so far were owned players, and Dan had two of them. 


Unfortunately for him, he drafted two huge duds: Sean Kilpatrick and Kendall Williams, who combined for 29 points in their first-round exits. 



Gav picked 4 Elite Eight players, like Dan, and his worst pick was a bonus player who grabbed 29.5 points in his loss. 


So, combining those “good” bad picks with Julius Randle, bonus point earner extraordinaire who should become the overall top point scorer on Saturday, Gav in the driver’s seat to win this thing. (This marks the second straight year that Gav has picked a 1.5x-earning player who reached the Final Four; last year he had Wichita State’s Carl Hall.)

What an amazing draft for Gavin. Let’s remember - this guy put together a stud-filled team against all odds. He was on his phone because he couldn’t find his girlfriend’s wifi password, and eating dinner, and not comprehending which players were already drafted and which were still available. This could be the greatest evidence yet that an infinite number of monkeys working for an infinite number of years would type the works of Shakespeare.

Dan 635.5
Gav 629.5

Despite being 6 points behind, Vegas favors Gavin to win it all. Randle’s bonus earnings are an obvious advantage. Dan needs Randle to break his leg, get caught doing something so incredibly illegal that the school or NCAA would suspend him, or even just play basketball very poorly -- something that would cause Wisconsin to advance to the final. However, while Dan’s best scorer, Frank Kaminsky, accumulates points, so will Gav’s other remaining player, point guard Traevon Jackson, his final pick of the draft. 

Dan’s other remaining player, Michael Frazier II, is not one of Florida’s primary threats, and though he has scored a high of 19 in this tourney and a high of 37 (11/18 3-pointers!) this season, he is likely to add only 10 or 12 points per remaining game.



The remaining standings:
 
Joe 547.5
Both Michigan State players reached the 100 point plateau. If Sam Dekker is the only person on the court for the next two games, victory is within reach for Joe.


Ben 501
All out of active players, since Gav drafted all the good ones for himself and picked Ben a team full of Average Adams.


Bob 493
My 'Zona bro did pretty well considering he entered my house minutes before the draft began, and his research took place while waiting for Gav to make his picks.


Brian 485
I thought Daniels over Boatright was a bad choice, but Daniels has been great, scoring 25 more points than the UConn guard.



Chuck 455
Not a lot to say, Chuck. Three really good players was not enough. Not even close. Tyler Ennis is going pro, though, so that should be good for a laugh.



Chris 370.5
Hey, so it didn't work out. Shabazz Napier, though!



Shawn 340
The difference between the first Florida player selected, Prather (#2 overall), and the last, Michael Frazier II (#25 overall), is 6 points. A great team with balanced scoring, folks.
 


Stu 234
Yuck. Gross. Hope you had fun, Stu! Better luck next year!


Here is a graph that kinda makes sense. This is among all players on the spreadsheet, so basically all decent players from all seeds, drafted or not. You can see that the median score is 36, so if you drafted anyone that scored less than that you've got a loser on your team.


I will post the final results on Tuesday, after Monday's championship.
 

Monday, March 24, 2014

March Madness Fantasy 2014 - Round of 32 Results


It turns out that we were all right for lusting after TJ Warren. Despite only playing two games, the ACC player of the year accumulated 106 points. And if his team hadn’t crapped the bed against St. Louis in the second half, he may have surpassed the current point leader, Jarnell Stokes of Tennessee, who has averaged 55 per game, and has 164 total points thanks to his bonus play-in round.




The highest scoring player from a non-bonus earning seed is Cleanthony Early of Wichita State, with 70. Shabazz Napier (68), Xavier Thames (68), Adriean “Major” Payne (62), and Doug McDermott (62) are the next best non-bonus players.

The worst? Well, are we counting Joel Embid, the seventh-round risk that Chris burdened himself with? The only other player on the board to earn zero points was Andre Dawkins of Duke, who went scoreless in seven minutes. At least that guy attempted 5 shots, though, right? At least he laced ‘em up and walked on the court, right?

A whopping 9 other chosen players scored less than 22 total points before their tourney exit. Three belonged to Stu, two to Joe, and two to Dan.

The leaderboard:



Gav 436.5.
5 players left. Riding Randle. Iowa State’s Ejim is his only hope on the other side of the bracket.

Dan 389.
6 players left. Needs Tennessee or anyone but Kentucky to win the Midwest, and Florida’s sixth-best scorer to be dominant.

Brian 369.
3 players left. Sunk by the Shockers loss, unless Isaiah Austin becomes tourney MOP.

Ben 367.
4 players left. Lost Doug McBuckets. Needs a PAC12 vs Michigan final.

Joe 358.5.
5 players left. Providence’s Cotton (73.5 points in one game!) made up for VCU and Iowa picks. Could the Niang injury benefit Hogue's points? Riding 2 Michigan State guys.

Bob 327.
5 players left. Got mileage out of his SF Austin bonus guy. Riding 2 Arizona players.

Chuck 323.
4 players left. Will lose one of his Harrises in the Sweet 16. Riding San Diego State.
 

The loserboard:

 
Shawn 292.
2 players left. Boned by Duke and mediocre white guys from 8+ seeds.

Chris 286.5.
2 players left. Boned by Andrew Wiggins’ egg-laying and drafting a spectator named Joel Embid.

Stu 224.
2 players left. Boned by #1 pick Jabari Parker and Niang’s broken foot and Le’Bryan Nash AND Wayne Selden and even Keith Appling.
 

The next update will be on Monday, or who knows? Maybe Tuesday? Before the Final Four starts, that's 4 sure.